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The information contained herein is based on sources which we believe are reliable, but is not guaranteed by us and is not to be considered all inclusive. It is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy the securities herein mentioned. This firm and its Directors and Officers and/or members of their families may have a position in the securities herein mentioned and may make purchases and/or sales of the securities from time to time in the open-market and otherwise.


Electrifying
by Prince Anthony A. Yeung
Tuesday, July 27, 2010


Meralco (MER, up 5.03% to P188.00) jolted the main index ( 3,436.59) to a gain of 22.56 points or 0.6%. Focus was on blue chips as investors position themselves for the upcoming earnings reports. Meralco was first as it disclosed that its first half core net income grew by over 80%, a big reason for the stock's performance today. Other active main index issues included PLDT (TEL, up 0.25% to P2,436.00), Metrobank (MBT, up 0.51% to P58.60), and Aboitiz Power (AP, up 2.91% to P19.80). PLDT and AP will announce their first half earnings next week while MBT will announce theirs along with other banks soon.


Trading activity was better today as a total of 651 million shares amounting to P3 billion changed hands today, just slightly below the average for the year. Most trades were buying as the main index steadily climbed as the session wore on. Market breadth was positive as there were a little bit more advancers than decliners. Investors and traders are starting to familiarize themselves with the changes as there was evidently more use of the smaller price fluctuations compared to yesterday. All sub-indices were higher except for the Mining sub-index. The market opened late due to a technical problem but was smooth throughout trading.


Consolidated revenues of Meralco grew by 35% in the first half as energy sales grew by 14% to 14,950 Gwh. The increase in core net income was largely due to the allowed rate hike under the Performance-based Regulation (PBR). Distribution charges were hiked to P1.4917 this year after being increased to P1.227 last year. Lower system losses also contributed positively. After struggling with high system losses for a long time now, MER was able to push system losses to below the 8.5% cap set by the ERC. Also, the company decided to give out a cash dividend of P2.50 per share, approximately half of its first half EPS.


President Aquino's SONA did not have much of an effect on the local stock market. With that over and done with, investors now look towards the next catalyst for the market: 2nd quarter/1st half earnings. Some companies such as EDC and MER have already released their results but majority have not. Next week will bring about a host of reports from index issues such as PLDT, Globe, Aboitiz Power, Aboitiz Equity Ventures, and FLI. Banks are also expected to be among the earliest to release their results although most do not conduct briefings. Investors are advised to position in stocks that are seen to release impressive first half results. Which stocks move in the coming days will reveal just what the market is expecting in terms of who did well and who did not.

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